Bhubaneswar (SunstarTV Bureau): The India Meteorological Department (IMD) informed that, severe cyclone may form over Bay of Bengal and move towards south Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts.
As per the prediction, a low pressure area over north Andaman Sea may form around October 10. It may intensify into a depression over east-central Bay of Bengal around October 14 with west-northwestwards movement towards south Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts.
Some models are indicating intensification of this system up to severe category of cyclonic storm.
“Most of the numerical models including IMD GFS, NCEP-GFS, GEFS, NCUM, NEPS, ECMWF are indicating development of a low pressure area over north Andaman Sea around 10th October. However, GFS group of models are indicating development of depression over east-central Bay of Bengal around 14th October with west-northwestwards movement towards south Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts. These models are also indicating intensification of this system up to severe category of cyclonic storm,” the IMD said.
“However, models like ECMWF, NCUM and NEPS are not indicating any significant development of this system. The Genesis Potential Parameter based on IMD GFS is indicating potential zone of cyclogenesis over east-central Bay of Bengal on 12th October with subsequent west-northwestwards movement till 14th October,” the agency said.
If the system intensifies into a cyclonic storm, it will be named as Cyclone Jawad.
There is also an indication by a few models that another Low Pressure Area could form over north Andaman Sea and adjoining Myanmar coast towards the middle part of week 2 (15.10.2021-21.10.2021) without much intensification, it added.
Further, CFSV2 ensemble runs are indicating likely formation of a Low Pressure Area over east central Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra–Goa coasts around 11th October, becoming more marked and moving west-northwestwards towards Oman coasts, where it is shown to be getting dissipated over the Sea by 18th October.
